Human and Machine Resources
In a recent blog post, Marco Argenti, the Chief Information Officer of Goldman Sachs, shared his predictions for the year 2025, highlighting the maturation of AI code as "corporate workers" that can take over corporate processes and be managed just like employees. According to Argenti, AI models will be capable of planning and executing complex, long-running tasks on humans’ behalf, creating the conditions for companies to "employ" and train AI workers to be part of hybrid teams of humans and AIs working together.
Autonomous Businesses will be Powered by AI Agents
Argenti also predicts that corporate HR offices will have to manage "human and machine resources," and there may even be AI "layoffs" as programs are replaced by more highly capable versions. This echoes comments made by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, who stated that "in the future, these AI agents are essentially digital workforce that work beside your employees, and do things on your behalf."
AI Models will be like PhD Graduates
According to Argenti, the most-capable AI models will be like PhD graduates, with "industry-specific knowledge" for finance, medicine, etc. These advanced AI models will be the result of retrieval-augmented generation and fine-tuning, which involves training AI models a second time with additional data specific to a domain.
The Future of Work
Argenti references another development that might be right out of Huang’s keynote: robots training in "world models" that simulate the environment. "The intersection of LLMs and robotics will increasingly bring AI into, and enable it to experience, the physical world, which will help enable reasoning capabilities for AI."
Responsible AI
Argenti sees "responsible AI" increasing in importance as a board-room priority in 2025, and expects that the largest generative AI models – the "frontier" models of OpenAI and others – will become the province of only a handful of institutions with budgets large enough to pursue their enormous training costs. This will lead to a "Formula One" version of AI, where the "engines" of AI are made by a handful of powerful providers, and everyone else will work on smaller-model development.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Argenti’s predictions highlight the growing importance of AI in the corporate world, with AI models becoming more capable and autonomous, and potentially replacing human workers in certain roles. As AI becomes more sophisticated, it is crucial for companies to prioritize responsible AI development and deployment to ensure a smooth transition to this new era of work.
FAQs
Q: What does Argenti predict for the future of AI?
A: Argenti predicts that AI models will be capable of planning and executing complex, long-running tasks on humans’ behalf, creating the conditions for companies to "employ" and train AI workers to be part of hybrid teams of humans and AIs working together.
Q: What does Argenti mean by "human and machine resources"?
A: Argenti means that corporate HR offices will have to manage both human employees and AI models, and there may even be AI "layoffs" as programs are replaced by more highly capable versions.
Q: What is "responsible AI"?
A: Argenti sees "responsible AI" increasing in importance as a board-room priority in 2025, and expects that the largest generative AI models – the "frontier" models of OpenAI and others – will become the province of only a handful of institutions with budgets large enough to pursue their enormous training costs.
