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It’s a Lemon

A Stratospheric Price and a Tech Dead-End

Perhaps because of the disappointing results, Altman had previously written that GPT-4.5 will be the last of OpenAI’s traditional AI models, with GPT-5 planned to be a dynamic combination of “non-reasoning” LLMs and simulated reasoning models like o3.

A Steep Price to Pay

And about that price—it’s a doozy. GPT-4.5 costs $75 per million input tokens and $150 per million output tokens through the API, compared to GPT-4o’s $2.50 per million input tokens and $10 per million output tokens. (Tokens are chunks of data used by AI models for processing). For developers using OpenAI models, this pricing makes GPT-4.5 impractical for many applications where GPT-4o already performs adequately.

A Comparison with o1 and o3

By contrast, OpenAI’s flagship reasoning model, o1 pro, costs $15 per million input tokens and $60 per million output tokens—significantly less than GPT-4.5 despite offering specialized simulated reasoning capabilities. Even more striking, the o3-mini model costs just $1.10 per million input tokens and $4.40 per million output tokens, making it cheaper than even GPT-4o while providing much stronger performance on specific tasks.

A Shift in Focus

OpenAI has likely known about diminishing returns in training LLMs for some time. As a result, the company spent most of last year working on simulated reasoning models like o1 and o3, which use a different inference-time (runtime) approach to improving performance instead of throwing ever-larger amounts of training data at GPT-style AI models.

OpenAI’s Self-Reported Benchmark Results


Credit: OpenAI

A New Era in AI

While this seems like bad news for OpenAI in the short term, competition is thriving in the AI market. Anthropic’s Claude 3.7 Sonnet has demonstrated vastly better performance than GPT-4.5, with a reportedly more efficient architecture. It’s worth noting that Claude 3.7 Sonnet is likely a system of AI models working together behind the scenes, although Anthropic has not provided details about its architecture.

Conclusion

For now, it seems that GPT-4.5 may be the last of its kind—a technological dead-end for an unsupervised learning approach that has paved the way for new architectures in AI models, such as o3’s inference-time reasoning and perhaps even something more novel, like diffusion-based models. Only time will tell how things end up.

FAQs

Q: What is the price of GPT-4.5?
A: GPT-4.5 costs $75 per million input tokens and $150 per million output tokens through the API.

Q: How does GPT-4.5 compare to other OpenAI models?
A: GPT-4.5 is more expensive than other OpenAI models, such as o1 pro and o3-mini, despite offering similar or weaker performance.

Q: What is the future of GPT-style AI models?
A: OpenAI has announced that GPT-5 will be a dynamic combination of “non-reasoning” LLMs and simulated reasoning models like o3, signaling a shift away from traditional unsupervised learning approaches.

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